2022年2月24日 · If there’s one thing you know about FiveThirtyEight, it’s that we love polls. But, contrary to popular belief, we don’t usually conduct polls ourselves — we jus…

FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society.

2018年2月9日 · Our Data. We’re sharing the data and code behind some of our articles and graphics. We hope you’ll use it to check our work and to create stories and visualizations of your own.

2023年4月21日 · Nate Silver founded and was the editor in chief of FiveThirtyEight. He is the author of “The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail — But Some Don’t.”

2022年8月24日 · FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society.

2023年3月10日 · The variables PPM and APM are Predictive Plus-Minus and Advanced Plus-Minus, of course. The variable disc_pollcount is the discounted poll count, in which older polls receive a lower weight than ...

FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society.

2022年11月4日 · FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society.

2023年3月10日 · Includes polls of special elections and runoffs. Excludes polls from pollsters that are banned by FiveThirtyEight, New Hampshire primary polls taken before the Iowa caucuses and other states ...

2022年11月8日 · At the same time, the upside case for Republicans has perhaps been understated. Our model puts the 80th percentile range of outcomes in the House at between a one-seat and a 33-seat GOP gain; and ...